Ingersoll Rand Inc. IR
Verdict: Sell. Fair value $57.12 against a price of $82.21 on 6 Jan 2026, 31% below the price.
In plain words
The case for: Narrow competitive moat provides durability. Industry tailwinds with growing market.
The case against: The company has an average EPS surprise of -0.0% over the last 4 quarters, with three quarters....
Main risks
- Decelerating revenue growth (from ~16% in prior year to 5.2% in the most recent year)
- Weak return on capital metrics (ROE: 8.3%, ROA: 4.7%, est. ROIC: 6.7%) suggest potential inefficiency
- Questionable incremental returns on capital (proxy 3-Yr ROIIC of 9.8% is below the 10% threshold for 'good' capital allocation)
- Valuation prices in optimistic scenario (limited margin for error)
- Overhang: The primary overhang is market skepticism regarding Ingersoll Rand's valuation after a per...
- Market volatility